The
reliability of the human operator is an essential indicator of the safe
operation of nuclear power plants. Mistakes can be made during performance
checks, maintenance, at the stage of accident management, etc. The stability of
a nuclear power plant is affected by a number of different factors:
-
level of organization of the project;
-
quality of equipment in operation;
-
selection and training of competent personnel;
-
maintaining the qualifications of NPP workers
and
etc.
In
the "man-machine" system, the reliability of the technical component
is calculated by known methods and in accordance with established reliability
standards. However, the “human” component cannot be technically accurately
determined, therefore, it is necessary to undertake systematic efforts to
increase and subsequently maintain the achieved level of reliability of this
component.
The
most significant contribution to emergency situations at hazardous facilities
is made by personnel. 70% of disasters are caused by improper actions or low
personnel reliability, and only 30% are equipment failure, adverse effects of
external factors, etc.
The
Dimensions Database (http://app.dimensions.ai.) is an advanced scientific
database that includes not only books, chapters, and conference materials, but
also provides grants, patents, clinical trials, program documents, and
altmetric information.
The
metadata for this database was obtained from sources such as CrossRef, PubMed,
Directory of Open Access Journals, Open Citation Data, clinical trial
registries, patent offices and more than 100 publishers [1]. In some cases,
full-text data is indexed from open sources, such as PubMed Central and arXiv,
providing greater detection and access capabilities than other citation
databases [2].
Launched
in January 2018, Dimensions brings together more than 133 million research
documents throughout the research life cycle. The free version of the platform
provides open access to more than 95 million publication records and related
metrics.
Citation
counting is the basis of bibliometric analysis since the late 1950s and an
assessment tool from the mid-1980s. Dimensions builds its citation graph using
several methods [3].
Identification
of the organization, disambiguation of authors, processing in a natural
language, and extraction of links mean that Dimensions can accurately respond
to complex search queries [4].
VOSviewer
is a software tool that is fully focused on the visualization of bibliometric
networks. In the visualizations provided by VOSviewer, the distance between the
two nodes indicates their relationship. Thus, VOSviewer is especially suitable
for visualizing of large networks.
In
a bibliometric network, there are often large differences between nodes in
terms of the number of edges they have. Popular sites, for example,
representing highly cited publications, can have several orders of magnitude
more links than their less popular counterparts. When analyzing bibliometric
networks, normalization of these differences between nodes is usually
performed. VOSviewer by default applies the normalization of the strength of
communication [5].
The
next step after building a normalized network is to place the nodes in the
network in two-dimensional space so that the strongly connected nodes are close
to each other, while the weakly connected nodes are far from each other. For
this purpose, the VOS matching technique is used (VOS - “visualization of
similarities”) [6].
In
addition, VOSviewer by default assigns nodes in the network to clusters. A
cluster is a collection of closely related nodes. Each node in the network is
assigned to only one cluster. The number of clusters is determined by the
resolution parameter. To indicate the cluster assigned to this node, VOSviewer
(when visualizing the bibliometric network) uses colors [7].
In
addition, VOSviewer supports overlay renderings. In overlay rendering, the
color of a node indicates a specific property of the node. For example, nodes
can represent magazines, and the color of a node can indicate the number of
links to a given journal [8]. Another visualization supported by VOSviewer is
density visualization [9].
The
search was carried out on the Dimensions platform for the keywords
"nuclear power plants human factor" in the names and annotations for
all years.
746
publications were found in the Dimensions database. There are of them 520
articles, 125 abstracts, 94 chapters from books, 5 monographs, 2 preprints.
The
publication activity in the field of human factor research in the operation of
nuclear power plants is shown in fig. 1 (including all types of publications).
The trend line is exponential, the coefficient of determination (R2), also
called the “approximation confidence value”, is 0.6719.
Fig.
1. Publication activity in the field of human factor research in the operation
of nuclear power plants based on the bibliographic database Dimensions.
The
top 20 countries with the largest number of publications (Fig. 2) include such
countries as the USA (162 articles), South Korea (65), China (62), Japan (32),
Taiwan (18), and Great Britain (14), France (12), Brazil, Finland, India (10
articles each). Russia is in 16th place with 7 jobs.
Fig.
2. Top 20 countries with the most number of publications.
We
built the networks of authors based on co-authorship (co-authorship), citation
(co-citation) and bibliographic combination (bibliographic coupling).
When building a co-authorship network for 1665 authors from 43 countries, the minimum number of articles by the author was taken to be five. There were 36 such authors in 11 clusters (Fig. 3). The largest clusters included 8 authors (lead author is Seong Poong Hyun), 8 (lead author is Boring Ronald L.) and 5 authors (lead author is Zhang Li). The smallest clusters included one author. The network shows a high degree of separation of authors from different countries, and even within the same country (for example, "Chinese" clusters - 6).
Fig.
3. Co-authoring visualization of a network of authors.
A
network of scientists based on citation was built. In this case, the connection
between the researchers will be formed when citing them in the same sources.
The size of the node in the network depends on the number of links to this
particular researcher.
The
minimum number of citations was taken to be 20. At the same time, 40 authors
were identified (Fig. 4).
Fig.
4. Visualization of a network of authors based on citation.
3
international clusters of authors were identified, including 19, 14 and 7
authors, respectively. The central author of the 1st cluster is Seong Poong
Hyun, for the 2nd cluster - Park Jinkuyn, for the 3rd cluster - Mosleh A.
Therefore, scientists are familiar with the works of authors of other research
groups.
A
network of scientists was built on the basis of a bibliographic combination. In
the case of a bibliographic combination, a link between the researchers will be
built if they quote the same sources. The size of the network node depends on
how the researcher quoted other scientists. The minimum number of citations was
taken equal to 5, 36 authors were identified (Fig. 5).
Fig.
5. Network of authors based on bibliographic combination
Four
clusters were identified, including Chinese authors (the central authors are
Park Jinkuyn, Seong Poong Hyun, Zhang Li). The central author of the
international cluster is Boring Ronald.
Therefore,
in both co-authoring and citation and bibliographic combination networks, the
central authors are a small list of scientists, including Park Jinkuyn, Seong
Poong Hyun, Zhang Li, Boring Ronald.
In
order to identify the most influential organizations for the study of the human
factor in the management of nuclear power plants, visualization of
co-authorship networks by organizations was performed. The minimum number of
articles of the organization was taken equal to three. Out of 297
organizations, 52 organizations were selected that met these requirements (Fig.
6).
Fig.
6. Organization Collaboration Network Visualization
The
visualization of a collaborative network of organizations confirms the
fragmentation of research. Only three organizations have common publications;
these are the University of South China (China), the National Idaho Laboratory
(USA), and the Korean Atomic Energy Research Institute (South Korea). The
remaining organizations conduct independent research, including the National
Academy of Sciences of Ukraine.
An
analysis of co-authorship by country was carried out, the minimum number of
articles of the country was taken to be three. Of the 43 countries, 26 were
allocated. These 26 countries made up two clusters (Fig. 7). The 1st cluster
includes 16 countries: Austria, Canada, China, Finland, France, Germany, India,
Italy, Norway, Russia, South Korea, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Arab
Emirates, Great Britain. The central country is South Korea. The 2nd cluster
includes 7 countries: Australia, Brazil, Czech Republic, Japan, Taiwan,
Ukraine, and the USA. The central country is the USA.
Fig.
7. Country Collaboration Network Visualization
A
citation analysis was carried out for publication sources, the minimum number
of publications in the source was taken to be five. The 23 most cited sources
were identified (Fig. 8). The most cited sources are Reliability Engineering
& System Safety, Annals of Nuclear Energy, Proceedings of the Human Factors
and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting.
Fig.
8. Citation Network Visualization by Source
We
reviewed a citation network by country. The minimum number of publications in
the country was taken to be five (Fig. 9). 19 countries were identified in 3
clusters. The 1st cluster includes 8 countries: China, Czech Republic, Germany,
India, Italy, Japan, South Korea, and Great Britain. The second cluster
included 6 countries: Brazil, France, Norway, Russia, Sweden, Taiwan. Cluster 3
includes 5 countries: Canada, Finland, Spain, Switzerland, and the USA.
Fig.
9. Country Citation Network Visualization
We
looked at a citation network for organizations. The minimum number of
publications in the country was taken to be five (Fig. 10). 24 organizations
were identified, the authors of which cite each other.
The
first cluster includes 11 organizations:
-
Chosun University, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Korea
Atomic Energy Research Institute, Korea Institute of Nuclear Safety (South
Korea);
-
China General Nuclear Power Corporation, Harbin Engineering University (China),
Institute of Nuclear Energy Research, Chung Yuan Christian University (Taiwan);
-
Electric Power Research Institute, United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission
(USA);
-
Institute for Energy Technology (Norway).
The
second cluster includes 7 organizations:
-
Hunan Institute of Technology, Nuclear and Radiation Safety Center, College
Park, University of South China (China);
-
the Ohio State University, University of Maryland, Sandia National Laboratories
(USA);
-
Paul Scherrer Institute (Switzerland).
The
third cluster includes 6 organizations:
-
Brookhaven National Laboratory, Idaho National Laboratory, University of Idaho,
(USA);
-
National Tsing Hua University (Taiwan), Tsinghua University (China);
-
Vtt Technical Research Center of Finland (Finland).
Therefore,
three groups of collaborating organizations can be distinguished. The first
group is headed by South Korean institutions. At the head of the second group -
Chinese, at the head of the third group - American.
Fig.
10. Organization Citation Network Visualization
More than one and a half thousand authors writing in English work in the subject under study. The visualization results show the authors that do not participate in large international collaborations. VOSviewer features ÒisolatedÓ research teams and collaboration between individual authors.
To
identify the most cited articles, we built a network of visualization of the
most cited documents, taking the minimum number of citations equal to fifteen.
39 articles were identified in five clusters (Fig. 11).
Fig.
11. Visualization of the networks of the most cited documents
The
first cluster (red, 9 articles) is formed around the article “Human Factors
Approach for Evaluation and Redesign of Human – System Interfaces of a Nuclear
Power Plant Simulator” (2008) [10].
The
second cluster (green, 9 articles) is grouped around the article “A Taxonomy of
Performance Influencing Factors for Human Reliability Analysis of Emergency
Tasks” (2003) [11].
The
third cluster (blue, 8 articles) is formed around the publication “Cognitive
Modeling and Dynamic Probabilistic Simulation of Operating Crew Response to
Complex System Accidents. Part 1: overview of the IDAC model” (2007) [12].
A
fourth cluster (olive) is formed around the article “Cognitive Modeling and
Dynamic Probabilistic Simulation of Operating Crew Response to Complex System
Accidents. Part 2: IDAC Performance Influencing Factors Model” (2007) [13].
The
fifth cluster (purple) is grouped around the article “a fuzzy set-based
approach for modeling dependence among human errors” (2009) [14].
In
accordance with central publications, we can identify the following relevant
areas of research development:
1)
the consideration of the human factor in the assessment and redesign of
man-system interfaces of nuclear power plants using simulators as examples;
2)
the taxonomy of factors affecting productivity, for the analysis of human
reliability in emergency situations;
3)
cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic modeling of the response of the
working team to complex systemic accidents using the IDAC model as an example;
4)
modeling the relationship between human errors based on a fuzzy set-based
approach.
IDAC
is a model of information, decisions and actions in the context of the crew for
analyzing human reliability. The model is designed for probabilistic
forecasting of the response of the team managing the NPP dispatcher during an
accident for use in probabilistic risk assessments. The response spectrum of
the operator includes cognitive, emotional and physical actions during the accident.
IDAC includes a crew model of three types of operators [12, 13].
This
work was supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research, grants No.
17-07-01475, 18-07-00225, 18-07-00909, 18-07-01111 and 19-07-00455.
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